Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000095 0.000100 0.000106 0.000111 0.000118 0.000125
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000091 0.000098 0.000107 0.000117 0.000127 0.000141
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000078 0.000086 0.000095 0.000105 0.000118 0.000133 0.000151
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000084 0.000095 0.000107 0.000123 0.000143 0.000168
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000081 0.000092 0.000106 0.000124 0.000147 0.000179
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000078 0.000090 0.000105 0.000125 0.000150 0.000188
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000076 0.000089 0.000105 0.000127 0.000157 0.000201
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000075 0.000089 0.000107 0.000131 0.000165 0.000220
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000073 0.000086 0.000104 0.000130 0.000167 0.000226
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000069 0.000083 0.000101 0.000127 0.000165 0.000228
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000067 0.000080 0.000099 0.000125 0.000164 0.000231
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000076 0.000095 0.000121 0.000159 0.000227
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096 0.000125 0.000168 0.000248
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000097 0.000128 0.000178 0.000271
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000075 0.000096 0.000128 0.000180 0.000283
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000061 0.000076 0.000098 0.000133 0.000192 0.000315
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000059 0.000074 0.000097 0.000133 0.000195 0.000329
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000096 0.000133 0.000197 0.000343
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000072 0.000096 0.000135 0.000204 0.000368
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000097 0.000139 0.000215 0.000407
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000095 0.000137 0.000215 0.000417
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000093 0.000133 0.000211 0.000414
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000052 0.000067 0.000090 0.000131 0.000209 0.000417